SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 50.63%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Helmond Sport | Draw | Dordrecht |
50.63% ( -0.42) | 23.25% ( 0.03) | 26.12% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 58.63% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.77% ( 0.22) | 42.23% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.36% ( 0.22) | 64.63% ( -0.22) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.21% ( -0.07) | 16.79% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.24% ( -0.13) | 46.75% ( 0.13) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.47% ( 0.42) | 29.53% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.45% ( 0.51) | 65.55% ( -0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Helmond Sport | Draw | Dordrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.22% Total : 50.63% | 1-1 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.25% | 1-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.24% Total : 26.12% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Willem II | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 46 | 18 | 28 | 48 |
| 2 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 40 |
| 3 | Roda JC | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 39 |
| 4 | Dordrecht | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 36 |
| 5 | Cambuur | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 34 |
| 6 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 33 |
| 7 | Groningen | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
| 8 | EmmenEmmen | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 32 |
| 9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 31 |
| 10 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 30 |
| 11 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 29 |
| 12 | Jong AZJong AZ | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 29 |
| 13 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
| 14 | Helmond SportHelmond | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 25 |
| 15 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 22 |
| 16 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 18 |
| 17 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 15 |
| 19 | TelstarTelstar | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 15 |
| 20 | TOP OssOss | 21 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 38 | -26 | 11 |
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