SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 58.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 20.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 1-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 1-2 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Emmen in this match.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | Jong AZ |
58.66% ( -0.42) | 21.07% ( 0.17) | 20.27% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 58.67% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.27% ( -0.45) | 38.72% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.96% ( -0.48) | 61.03% ( 0.46) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.04% ( -0.27) | 12.95% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.57% ( -0.54) | 39.42% ( 0.54) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.4% ( -0.02) | 32.59% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.86% ( -0.02) | 69.13% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.7% Total : 58.66% | 1-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.07% | 1-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.38% Total : 20.27% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Roda JC | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 26 |
| 2 | Willem II | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | EmmenEmmen | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | Dordrecht | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 21 |
| 6 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 20 |
| 7 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 20 |
| 8 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | Helmond SportHelmond | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 18 |
| 10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 | Jong AZJong AZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 17 |
| 12 | Groningen | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 14 |
| 13 | Cambuur | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 14 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 11 |
| 16 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
| 17 | TelstarTelstar | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 9 |
| 19 | TOP OssOss | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 6 |
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