SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 58.9%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for TOP Oss had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a TOP Oss win it was 1-2 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong AZ would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | TOP Oss |
58.9% ( 0.09) | 21.39% ( -0.04) | 19.7% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.55% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.92% ( 0.1) | 41.07% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.53% ( 0.1) | 63.46% ( -0.1) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.36% ( 0.06) | 13.63% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.19% ( 0.12) | 40.8% ( -0.12) |
| TOP Oss Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.48% | 34.51% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.76% ( 0) | 71.23% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | TOP Oss |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% 1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.34% 3-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.26% Total : 58.9% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.29% 0-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.39% | 1-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.87% 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.03% Total : 19.7% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Roda JC | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 7 | 16 | 23 |
| 2 | Willem II | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 21 |
| 4 | EmmenEmmen | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
| 6 | Dordrecht | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 17 |
| 7 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
| 9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Helmond SportHelmond | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 16 |
| 11 | Jong AZJong AZ | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
| 12 | Cambuur | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 | Groningen | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 13 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 13 |
| 15 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 11 |
| 16 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 11 |
| 17 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 9 |
| 18 | TelstarTelstar | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 7 |
| 19 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 5 |
| 20 | TOP OssOss | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 4 |
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