SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 61.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for TOP Oss had a probability of 18.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.78%) and 1-0 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a TOP Oss win it was 1-2 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | TOP Oss |
61.81% ( 0.15) | 19.81% ( -0.06) | 18.38% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 59.78% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.29% ( 0.15) | 35.71% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.22% ( 0.17) | 57.78% ( -0.17) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.85% ( 0.08) | 11.15% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 64.4% ( 0.18) | 35.6% ( -0.18) |
| TOP Oss Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.28% ( 0) | 32.72% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.73% ( 0) | 69.27% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | TOP Oss |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.74% Total : 61.81% | 1-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 19.81% | 1-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 18.38% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | Heracles | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 103 | 42 | 61 | 82 |
| P | PEC Zwolle | 37 | 26 | 4 | 7 | 98 | 43 | 55 | 82 |
| 3 | Almere CityAlmere City | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 70 |
| 4 | Willem II | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 68 | 40 | 28 | 67 |
| 5 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 37 | 18 | 5 | 14 | 64 | 63 | 1 | 59 |
| 6 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 38 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 59 |
| 7 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 58 |
| 8 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 58 |
| 9 | Jong AZJong AZ | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 51 |
| 10 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 51 |
| 11 | TelstarTelstar | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 50 |
| 12 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 37 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 49 |
| 13 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 69 | 72 | -3 | 46 |
| 14 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 59 | 63 | -4 | 45 |
| 15 | Helmond SportHelmond | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 43 |
| 16 | Roda JC | 37 | 12 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 59 | -10 | 42 |
| 17 | TOP OssOss | 37 | 10 | 6 | 21 | 45 | 76 | -31 | 36 |
| 18 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 37 | 10 | 5 | 22 | 46 | 84 | -38 | 35 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 37 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 34 |
| 20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 38 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
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