SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Willem II win with a probability of 53.28%. A win for Jong Ajax has a probability of 24.79% and a draw has a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win is 2-1 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.83%).
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Willem II |
24.79% ( -2.98) | 21.92% ( -0.72) | 53.28% ( 3.69) |
| Both teams to score 61.96% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.78% ( 0.8) | 37.22% ( -0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.57% ( 0.86) | 59.42% ( -0.86) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.13% ( -1.72) | 27.87% ( 1.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.52% ( -2.25) | 63.48% ( 2.26) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.91% ( 1.52) | 14.09% ( -1.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.29% ( 2.9) | 41.7% ( -2.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong Ajax | Draw | Willem II |
| 2-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.54) 1-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.46)2-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.47)3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.38)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.28)Other @ 3.63% Total : 24.79% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.18)0-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.92% | 1-2 @ 9.63% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.5)1-3 @ 6.29% ( 0.45)0-3 @ 4.93% ( 0.57)2-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 3.08% ( 0.37)0-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.39)2-4 @ 1.97% ( 0.15)1-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.2)0-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.19)Other @ 3.56% Total : 53.28% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Roda JC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 9 | 17 | 27 |
| 2 | Willem II | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 26 |
| 3 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 26 |
| 4 | EmmenEmmen | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 23 |
| 5 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 | Dordrecht | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 22 |
| 7 | Helmond SportHelmond | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 21 |
| 8 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Cambuur | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 20 |
| 10 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 20 |
| 11 | Jong AZJong AZ | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 18 |
| 13 | Groningen | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
| 14 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 13 |
| 16 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 13 |
| 17 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 10 |
| 18 | TelstarTelstar | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
| 19 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 9 |
| 20 | TOP OssOss | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 7 |
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