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Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg
Feb 22, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Nacional
1 - 0
Atletico Nacional
Duarte (49')
Orzusa (45'), Blasi (51'), Ojeda (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Castro (49'), Duque (87'), Mejia (90')
Castro (90+2')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Club Nacional and Atletico Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Nacional 3-0 Aucas
Friday, February 16 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Racing 3-0 Atletico Nacional
Friday, August 11 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Club Nacional win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Atletico Nacional has a probability of 29.04% and a draw has a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Nacional win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Atletico Nacional win is 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.71%).

Result
Club NacionalDrawAtletico Nacional
44.12% (-1.528 -1.53) 26.84% (-0.442 -0.44) 29.04% (1.973 1.97)
Both teams to score 49.38% (2.474 2.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.62% (2.58 2.58)55.38% (-2.579 -2.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.41% (2.074 2.07)76.58% (-2.073 -2.07)
Club Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.05% (0.398 0.4)24.95% (-0.398 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.41% (0.548 0.55)59.59% (-0.546 -0.55)
Atletico Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.79% (2.964 2.96)34.2% (-2.964 -2.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.1% (3.055 3.06)70.9% (-3.056 -3.06)
Score Analysis
    Club Nacional 44.11%
    Atletico Nacional 29.04%
    Draw 26.84%
Club NacionalDrawAtletico Nacional
1-0 @ 11.84% (-1.09 -1.09)
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.22% (-0.65 -0.65)
3-1 @ 4.08% (0.065 0.07)
3-0 @ 3.81% (-0.254 -0.25)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.201 0.2)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 44.11%
1-1 @ 12.71% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
0-0 @ 8.53% (-0.887 -0.89)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.387 0.39)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.84%
0-1 @ 9.16% (-0.168 -0.17)
1-2 @ 6.82% (0.485 0.48)
0-2 @ 4.91% (0.297 0.3)
1-3 @ 2.44% (0.349 0.35)
0-3 @ 1.76% (0.234 0.23)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.259 0.26)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 29.04%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nacional 3-0 Aucas
Friday, February 16 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Aucas 1-0 Nacional
Friday, February 9 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cristal 5-1 Nacional
Wednesday, March 1 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Cristal
Tuesday, February 21 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nacional 3-1 Huancayo
Wednesday, February 15 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Huancayo 2-1 Nacional
Wednesday, February 8 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Racing 3-0 Atletico Nacional
Friday, August 11 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Atletico Nacional 4-2 Racing
Friday, August 4 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Atletico Nacional 0-1 Patronato
Wednesday, June 28 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Olimpia 3-0 Atletico Nacional
Friday, June 9 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Melgar 0-1 Atletico Nacional
Thursday, May 25 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Atletico Nacional 2-2 Olimpia
Wednesday, May 3 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

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