Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 11, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Peron
Racing
3 - 0
Atletico Nacional
Martinez (28'), Ojeda (50'), Aguirre (56' og.)
Piovi (10'), Javier Rubio (25'),
Gomez (31')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 55.22%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Atletico Nacional had a probability of 20.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for an Atletico Nacional win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result |
| Racing Club | Draw | Atletico Nacional |
55.22% ( -1.48) | 24.17% ( -0.11) | 20.61% ( 1.59) |
| Both teams to score 49.1% ( 2.7) |
| 48.31% ( 2.33) | 51.69% ( -2.33) |
| 26.53% ( 1.99) | 73.47% ( -1.99) |
| 81.4% ( 0.32) | 18.6% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.11% ( 0.54) | 49.89% ( -0.54) |
| 60.31% ( 3.09) | 39.68% ( -3.09) |
