Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Jun 28, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Atletico Nacional
0 - 1
Patronato
Asprilla Moreno (34'), Duque (53'), Ocampo (88')
Goez (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gonzalez (81')
Kruspzky (11'),
Solis (31'),
Diaz (71'), Ruiz (84'), Martin Aruga Torales (90+2'), Geminiani (90+3')
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 51.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result |
| Atletico Nacional | Draw | Patronato |
51.22% ( 0.44) | 25.68% ( -0.21) | 23.1% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 47.87% ( 0.36) |
| 45.07% ( 0.6) | 54.93% ( -0.6) |
| 23.78% ( 0.49) | 76.22% ( -0.49) |
| 78.51% ( 0.44) | 21.49% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.47% ( 0.67) | 54.53% ( -0.66) |
| 60.97% ( 0.12) | 39.03% ( -0.12) |
