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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 5, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Presbitero Bartolome Grella
Patronato
1 - 2
Atletico Nacional
Levato (2')
Domingo (14'), Levato (23'), Vazquez (45'), Ruiz (75'), Sosa (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pabon (77' pen., 79')
Gomez (52'), Zapata (68')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Patronato and Atletico Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Patronato 3-2 Huracan
Sunday, October 23 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Atletico Nacional 1-1 Olimpia
Friday, March 4 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 36.19%. A win for Atletico Nacional had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.61%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Atletico Nacional win was 0-1 (11.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
PatronatoDrawAtletico Nacional
36.19% (-0.808 -0.81) 28.64% (0.325 0.32) 35.16% (0.48399999999999 0.48)
Both teams to score 45.89% (-0.911 -0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.42% (-1.13 -1.13)60.58% (1.13 1.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.32% (-0.861 -0.86)80.68% (0.861 0.86)
Patronato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.08% (-1.082 -1.08)31.92% (1.082 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.63% (-1.253 -1.25)68.37% (1.253 1.25)
Atletico Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.41% (-0.261 -0.26)32.59% (0.261 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.87% (-0.297 -0.3)69.13% (0.29600000000001 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Patronato 36.19%
    Atletico Nacional 35.16%
    Draw 28.63%
PatronatoDrawAtletico Nacional
1-0 @ 11.87% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 7.61% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-0 @ 6.78% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-1 @ 2.9% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-0 @ 2.58% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.62% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 36.19%
1-1 @ 13.31% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 10.4% (0.432 0.43)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.63%
0-1 @ 11.66% (0.41 0.41)
1-2 @ 7.47% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.54% (0.181 0.18)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.44% (0.051 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 35.16%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Patronato 3-2 Huracan
Sunday, October 23 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 0-1 Patronato
Sunday, October 16 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Lanus 0-1 Patronato
Thursday, October 13 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Patronato 0-1 River Plate
Monday, October 10 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Colon 1-0 Patronato
Wednesday, October 5 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Patronato 2-1 Tucuman
Sunday, October 2 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Atletico Nacional 1-1 Olimpia
Friday, March 4 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Olimpia 3-1 Atletico Nacional
Friday, February 25 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Catolica 2-0 Atletico Nacional
Thursday, May 27 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 1-0 Atletico Nacional
Thursday, May 20 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Atletico Nacional 0-0 Nacional
Thursday, May 13 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Atletico Nacional 0-2 Argentinos Jrs
Thursday, May 6 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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