SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 62.36%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 15.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.73%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Patronato win it was 1-0 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for River Plate in this match.
| Result | ||
| Patronato | Draw | River Plate |
15.91% ( 0.11) | 21.73% ( 0) | 62.36% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 48.02% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.27% ( 0.16) | 48.73% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.16% ( 0.15) | 70.84% ( -0.15) |
| Patronato Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.53% ( 0.24) | 43.47% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.31% ( 0.2) | 79.69% ( -0.19) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.94% ( 0.02) | 15.06% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.42% ( 0.04) | 43.58% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Patronato | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 5.46% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.56% Total : 15.91% | 1-1 @ 10.32% 0-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.79% Total : 21.73% | 0-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 11.73% ( -0.06)1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 7.4% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 6.17% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.5% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.33% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 62.35% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | River PlateRiver Plate | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 6 | 19 | 34 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 28 |
| 3 | Defensa y JusticiaDefensa | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 27 |
| 4 | TalleresTalleres | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | EstudiantesEstudiantes | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 24 |
| 6 | BelgranoBelgrano | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 24 |
| 7 | Rosario CentralRosario | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 23 |
| 8 | LanusLanus | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 22 |
| 9 | Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | TigreTigre | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 20 |
| 11 | Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 19 |
| 12 | Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 19 |
| 13 | Boca Juniors | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
| 14 | Racing ClubRacing | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 | Central CordobaC. Cordoba | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 | Platense | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 17 |
| 17 | Instituto | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
| 18 | Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 16 |
| 19 | Sarmiento | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
| 20 | HuracanHuracan | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 16 |
| 21 | BanfieldBanfield | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 15 |
| 22 | GimnasiaGimnasia | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
| 23 | ColonColon | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 14 |
| 24 | Atletico TucumanTucuman | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 14 |
| 25 | Barracas Central | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 14 |
| 26 | IndependienteIndependiente | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 13 |
| 27 | Arsenal SarandiArsenal | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 11 |
| 28 | UnionUnion | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 8 |
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