SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Nacional win with a probability of 45.98%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Sport Huancayo had a probability of 26.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Sport Huancayo win it was 0-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Club Nacional | Draw | Sport Huancayo |
45.98% ( -0.42) | 27.74% ( -0.16) | 26.27% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 45.09% ( 0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40% ( 0.84) | 60% ( -0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.76% ( 0.63) | 80.24% ( -0.63) |
| Club Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.89% ( 0.18) | 26.11% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.83% ( 0.24) | 61.17% ( -0.24) |
| Sport Huancayo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.02% ( 0.98) | 38.98% ( -0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.3% ( 0.91) | 75.7% ( -0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Club Nacional | Draw | Sport Huancayo |
| 1-0 @ 13.66% ( -0.37) 2-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.2)2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.01% Total : 45.98% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.33)2-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.73% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.5% Total : 26.27% |
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