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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Club Nacional had a probability of 22.11%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Club Nacional win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Nacional | Draw | Club Nacional |
52.74% ( 0.46) | 25.15% ( -0.11) | 22.11% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 48.22% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.12% ( 0.1) | 53.87% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.66% ( 0.09) | 75.33% ( -0.08) |
| Atletico Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.57% ( 0.23) | 20.43% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.13% ( 0.36) | 52.87% ( -0.36) |
| Club Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.6% ( -0.28) | 39.4% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.9% ( -0.27) | 76.09% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Nacional | Draw | Club Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 12.78% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 52.73% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.41% Total : 22.11% |
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