This could be an exciting evening of football with both sides likely to go all out as they attempt to secure a first Copa del Rey semi-final in a long time. We are backing the hosts to make the most of home advantage and their slightly better form to secure a narrow victory on this occasion.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 46.96%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rayo Vallecano in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rayo Vallecano.
