Both teams will be in a confident mood entering this match, and we are expecting it to be an open contest. Rayo have been so impressive in front of their own supporters this term, though, and we are tipping Iraola's side to pick up another victory on home soil.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 50.6%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 22.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
