Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 37.08%. A draw had a probability of 31.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 31.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.54%) and 2-1 (6.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.79%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
