Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 37.19%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.57%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 0-1 (11.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugo would win this match.
0) 
-0) 
