SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eldense win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eldense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 0-1 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eldense | Draw | Mirandes |
38.42% ( -0.68) | 28.82% ( 0.24) | 32.75% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 45.09% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.57% ( -0.76) | 61.43% ( 0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.68% ( -0.57) | 81.31% ( 0.57) |
| Eldense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.03% ( -0.79) | 30.96% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.73% ( -0.94) | 67.26% ( 0.93) |
| Mirandes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.32% ( -0.09) | 34.68% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.59% ( -0.1) | 71.4% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eldense | Draw | Mirandes |
| 1-0 @ 12.58% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.08% Total : 38.41% | 1-1 @ 13.33% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.82% | 0-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.22% Total : 32.75% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leganes | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 39 |
| 2 | Racing Club de FerrolRacing de Ferrol | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 38 |
| 3 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 35 |
| 4 | Espanyol | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 34 | 24 | 10 | 35 |
| 5 | EibarEibar | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 35 |
| 6 | Levante | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 35 |
| 7 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 35 |
| 8 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 33 |
| 9 | Burgos | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 33 |
| 10 | ElcheElche | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Real Oviedo | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 31 |
| 12 | TenerifeTenerife | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 31 |
| 13 | MirandesMirandes | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
| 14 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 28 |
| 15 | Eldense | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 26 |
| 16 | Albacete | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 25 |
| 17 | Villarreal II | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 24 |
| 18 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 23 |
| 19 | Huesca | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 22 |
| 20 | AlcorconAlcorcon | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 21 |
| 21 | Amorebieta | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 16 |
| 22 | CartagenaCartagena | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 15 |
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