With home advantage in their favour, Reading will back themselves to get at least a point on the board against their inconsistent opponents. However, we feel that Blackburn's win in midweek will do them the world of good, leading us to predict a narrow victory for the visitors.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for Reading had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
