SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (11.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Sheffield United |
31.42% ( 0.12) | 29.03% ( -0.02) | 39.54% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 44.21% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.64% ( 0.09) | 62.36% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.99% ( 0.07) | 82% ( -0.07) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.85% ( 0.14) | 36.15% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.07% ( 0.14) | 72.93% ( -0.14) |
| Sheffield United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.24% ( -0.01) | 30.76% ( 0.01) |
