SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 35.86%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.64%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (11.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Luton Town |
35.78% ( -0.12) | 28.35% ( 0.05) | 35.86% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 46.75% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.45% ( -0.19) | 59.54% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.11% ( -0.15) | 79.89% ( 0.14) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.34% ( -0.17) | 31.65% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.93% ( -0.2) | 68.06% ( 0.19) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.4% ( -0.06) | 31.6% ( 0.05) |
