SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 25.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Hull City win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Hull City |
48.79% ( 0.36) | 25.88% ( -0.07) | 25.32% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 49.5% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.09% ( 0.07) | 53.91% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.63% ( 0.05) | 75.37% ( -0.06) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.88% ( 0.19) | 22.12% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.51% ( 0.28) | 55.49% ( -0.28) |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.56% ( -0.21) | 36.44% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.77% ( -0.21) | 73.22% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Millwall | Draw | Hull City |
| 1-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.08% Total : 48.79% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.85% Total : 25.33% |
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