MX23RW : Saturday, February 25 22:50:51
SM
EFL Cup final: 17 hrs 39 mins
Dec 11, 2021 at 3pm UK at The KCOM Stadium
Hull City
2 - 2
Bristol City
Longman (3'), Honeyman (79')
Smallwood (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Semenyo (54'), James (90+2')
Kalas (59'), Massengo (65')

We said: Hull City 1-1 Bristol City

Now that distance has been established above the bottom three, neither club will want to lose this fixture. With that in mind, do not be surprised if an uneventful draw plays out on Humberside, a result which will suit both teams. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 46.37%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Hull CityDrawBristol City
46.37%26.84%26.8%
Both teams to score 47.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.49%56.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.5%77.51%
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.65%24.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.25%58.76%
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.4%36.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.61%73.4%
Score Analysis
    Hull City 46.36%
    Bristol City 26.8%
    Draw 26.83%
Hull CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 12.59%
2-1 @ 8.94%
2-0 @ 8.89%
3-1 @ 4.21%
3-0 @ 4.19%
3-2 @ 2.11%
4-1 @ 1.49%
4-0 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 46.36%
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 8.92%
2-2 @ 4.49%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.83%
0-1 @ 8.96%
1-2 @ 6.36%
0-2 @ 4.5%
1-3 @ 2.13%
0-3 @ 1.51%
2-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 26.8%

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Championship Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Burnley342210268284076
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd33197755302564
3Middlesbrough341761156401657
4Blackburn RoversBlackburn34174133838055
5Millwall33158104133853
6Luton TownLuton33141184032853
7Norwich CityNorwich341571248371152
8Watford341311104138350
9Sunderland3413101149381149
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom33139114436848
11Coventry CityCoventry33139113734348
12Preston North EndPreston33129123038-845
13Bristol City331111114341244
14Reading33135153848-1044
15Swansea CitySwansea33119134650-442
16Hull City34119143848-1042
17Stoke CityStoke34117163941-240
18Queens Park RangersQPR34109153549-1439
19Birmingham CityBirmingham34108163846-838
20Rotherham UnitedRotherham33812133645-936
21Cardiff CityCardiff3498172538-1335
22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield3387183047-1731
23Blackpool34710173351-1831
24Wigan AthleticWigan33710163052-2231
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