Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 50.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 22.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.38%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Bristol City win it was 1-0 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
