Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 66.28%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 12.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.31%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.