Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 42.55%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 28.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
