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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2023 at 12pm UK
Ewood Park
CC
Blackburn
1 - 0
Cardiff
Dack (48')
Garrett (13'), Hedges (49'), Wharton (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Simpson (28'), Harris (65')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 0-0 Cardiff
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Cardiff City

With Cardiff registering so many draws of late, that would ordinarily make a low-scoring stalemate the most obvious result here. However, this is Blackburn we are talking about, and we feel that Rovers will net during the latter stages to maintain their run of no league draws all season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Blackburn Rovers.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawCardiff City
39.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 27.51% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 32.52% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.81% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.22% (0.035000000000004 0.04)56.78% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.28% (0.027000000000001 0.03)77.72% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.22% (0.013000000000005 0.01)27.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.63% (0.015000000000001 0.02)63.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.59% (0.027999999999992 0.03)32.42% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.07% (0.032 0.03)68.93% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 39.97%
    Cardiff City 32.51%
    Draw 27.51%
Blackburn RoversDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 11.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.39% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 39.97%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 9.01% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 10.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.72% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.75% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 32.51%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Blackburn 1-2 Middlesbrough
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Blackburn
Monday, December 26 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-4 Nott'm Forest
Wednesday, December 21 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Norwich 0-2 Blackburn
Saturday, December 17 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-4 Preston
Saturday, December 10 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Ajax 0-2 Blackburn
Saturday, December 3 at 10am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Coventry 0-0 Cardiff
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-0 QPR
Monday, December 26 at 5.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Blackpool
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 2-2 Cardiff
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 3-1 Aston Villa
Wednesday, November 30 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 Sheff Utd
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Championship
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBurnley4629143873552101
4Middlesbrough462291584562875
5Coventry CityCoventry4618161258461270
6Sunderland4618151368551369
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46209175254-269
8Millwall461911165750768
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom461812165953666
10Swansea CitySwansea461812166864466
11Watford461615155653363
12Preston North EndPreston461712174559-1463
13Norwich CityNorwich461711185754362
14Bristol City461514175556-159
15Hull City461416165161-1058
16Stoke CityStoke461411215554153
17Birmingham CityBirmingham461411214758-1153
18Huddersfield TownHuddersfield461411214762-1553
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham461117184960-1150
20Queens Park RangersQPR461311224471-2750
21Cardiff CityCardiff461310234158-1749
RReading461311224668-2244
RBlackpool461111244872-2444
RWigan AthleticWigan461015213865-2742
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