SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 48.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 24.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.7%) and 1-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-0 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sheffield United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Sheffield United |
24.34% ( 0.29) | 26.77% ( 0.12) | 48.9% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 46.12% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.14% ( -0.19) | 57.87% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.42% ( -0.15) | 78.58% ( 0.16) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.48% ( 0.16) | 39.52% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.79% ( 0.15) | 76.21% ( -0.15) |
| Sheffield United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.25% ( -0.27) | 23.75% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.11% ( -0.38) | 57.9% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Sheffield United |
| 1-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.42% Total : 24.34% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0)Other @ 0.68% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 13.49% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.7% ( -0.08)1-2 @ 9% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.65% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 4.31% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.52% Total : 48.9% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Burnley | 46 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 87 | 35 | 52 | 101 |
| P | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 91 |
| P | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 80 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 84 | 56 | 28 | 75 |
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 70 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 69 |
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 69 |
| 8 | Millwall | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 68 |
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 59 | 53 | 6 | 66 |
| 10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 66 |
| 11 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 56 | 53 | 3 | 63 |
| 12 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 63 |
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 62 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 59 |
| 15 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 58 |
| 16 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 53 |
| 17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 53 |
| 18 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 53 |
| 19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 50 |
| 20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 50 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 49 |
| R | Reading | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 44 |
| R | Blackpool | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 44 |
| R | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 42 |
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