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Europa League final: 18 hrs 3 mins
BL
Championship | Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
BL
Birmingham
1 - 0
Blackburn
Khadra (61')
Trusty (45+2'), Bacuna (89'), Bellingham (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dolan (45+2'), Travis (53'), Morton (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 0-1 Birmingham
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-2 Blackburn Rovers

Birmingham are a result away from almost-certain Championship safety, but it is seldom the way of Blues to get their survival business done early in the second tier. Blackburn are on the home straight in their quest for a top-six finish, and we believe they will bounce back from their defeat in the FA Cup with a maximum at St Andrew's on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Birmingham City in this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
37.41% (0.012 0.01) 28.12% (0.0040000000000013 0) 34.47% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.37% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.26% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)58.74% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.73% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)79.27% (0.012 0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)30.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.6% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)66.4% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.9% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)32.1% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.43% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)68.57% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 37.4%
    Blackburn Rovers 34.46%
    Draw 28.12%
Birmingham CityDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 11.6%
2-1 @ 7.89%
2-0 @ 6.94% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.15%
3-0 @ 2.77% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 1.79%
4-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 37.4%
1-1 @ 13.19%
0-0 @ 9.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.12%
0-1 @ 11.02%
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 6.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 34.46%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: QPR 0-1 Birmingham
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 3-0 Birmingham
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 2-0 Rotherham
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Birmingham
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Luton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 3-1 Birmingham
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 3-2 Blackburn
Sunday, March 19 at 12pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Blackburn 2-1 Reading
Wednesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 3-2 Blackburn
Friday, March 10 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-0 Sheff Utd
Saturday, March 4 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 1-2 Blackburn
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: QPR 1-3 Blackburn
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBurnley4629143873552101
4Middlesbrough462291584562875
5Coventry CityCoventry4618161258461270
6Sunderland4618151368551369
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46209175254-269
8Millwall461911165750768
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom461812165953666
10Swansea CitySwansea461812166864466
11Watford461615155653363
12Preston North EndPreston461712174559-1463
13Norwich CityNorwich461711185754362
14Bristol City461514175556-159
15Hull City461416165161-1058
16Stoke CityStoke461411215554153
17Birmingham CityBirmingham461411214758-1153
18Huddersfield TownHuddersfield461411214762-1553
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham461117184960-1150
20Queens Park RangersQPR461311224471-2750
21Cardiff CityCardiff461310234158-1749
RReading461311224668-2244
RBlackpool461111244872-2444
RWigan AthleticWigan461015213865-2742
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