SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 59.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Viktoria Plzen had a probability of 17.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.07%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Viktoria Plzen win it was 1-0 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Viktoria Plzen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
17.8% ( -0.1) | 22.55% ( -0.05) | 59.65% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 49.33% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.03% ( 0.04) | 48.97% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.94% ( 0.04) | 71.05% ( -0.04) |
| Viktoria Plzen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.75% ( -0.1) | 41.24% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.23% ( -0.09) | 77.77% ( 0.09) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.96% ( 0.06) | 16.04% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.61% ( 0.12) | 45.39% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Viktoria Plzen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 1-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.91% Total : 17.8% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.87% Total : 22.55% | 0-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 11.07% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.76% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.99% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.09% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.08% Total : 59.64% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 92 | 31 | 61 | 85 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 36 | 25 | 6 | 5 | 83 | 42 | 41 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 63 | 31 | 32 | 66 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 65 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 66 | 45 | 21 | 58 |
| 7 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
| 9 | Brentford | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 53 |
| 10 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 37 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
| 17 | Everton | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 32 | 56 | -24 | 32 |
| 18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 30 |
| R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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