SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 52.11%. A win for Copenhagen had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Copenhagen win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Copenhagen |
52.11% ( -4.81) | 22.81% ( 0.47) | 25.07% ( 4.34) |
| Both teams to score 59.08% ( 4.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.85% ( 2.77) | 41.15% ( -2.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.45% ( 2.76) | 63.54% ( -2.76) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.13% ( -0.66) | 15.87% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.92% ( -1.23) | 45.08% ( 1.23) |
| Copenhagen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.23% ( 5.35) | 29.77% ( -5.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.16% ( 6.04) | 65.84% ( -6.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Copenhagen |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 8.7% ( -1.37)2-0 @ 8% ( -1.47)3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.27)3-0 @ 4.91% ( -1.04)3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.35)4-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.19)4-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.54)4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.13)5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.58% Total : 52.11% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.69)0-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.62)3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.32)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.81% | 1-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.88) 0-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.54)1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.66)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.56)0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.38)Other @ 3.15% Total : 25.07% |
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