SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 53.04%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Crystal Palace |
53.04% ( -0.16) | 22.72% ( 0.09) | 24.24% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 58.48% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.47% ( -0.32) | 41.53% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.07% ( -0.33) | 63.93% ( 0.33) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.32% ( -0.17) | 15.68% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.27% ( -0.32) | 44.73% ( 0.32) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.36% ( -0.11) | 30.64% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.11% ( -0.13) | 66.88% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.63% Total : 53.04% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.71% | 1-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.91% Total : 24.24% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Liverpool | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 45 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 42 |
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 40 |
| 4 | Arsenal | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 37 | 20 | 17 | 40 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 39 |
| 6 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 31 |
| 8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 31 |
| 9 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 20 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 29 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 28 |
| 11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 28 |
| 12 | Bournemouth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 25 |
| 13 | Fulham | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 24 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 21 |
| 15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 20 |
| 16 | Brentford | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 19 |
| 17 | Everton | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 16 |
| 18 | Luton TownLuton | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 15 |
| 19 | Burnley | 20 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 11 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 49 | -34 | 9 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
