Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 58.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Manchester United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester United.
