SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aarhus | Draw | Copenhagen |
30.14% ( -0.94) | 24.27% ( -0.17) | 45.59% ( 1.11) |
| Both teams to score 58.24% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.86% ( 0.31) | 44.14% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.48% ( 0.3) | 66.52% ( -0.3) |
| Aarhus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.35% ( -0.46) | 27.65% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.81% ( -0.6) | 63.2% ( 0.6) |
| Copenhagen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.49% ( 0.6) | 19.51% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.61% ( 0.97) | 51.4% ( -0.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aarhus | Draw | Copenhagen |
| 2-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.88% Total : 30.14% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 9.26% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 5.05% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 2.06% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.11% Total : 45.59% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Copenhagen | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | FC MidtjyllandMidtjylland | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 33 |
| 3 | Brondby | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 31 |
| 4 | SilkeborgSilkeborg | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
| 5 | Nordsjaelland | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 26 |
| 6 | AarhusAarhus | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 25 |
| 7 | Viborg FFViborg | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
| 8 | Lyngby BoldklubLyngby Boldklub | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 17 |
| 9 | OdenseOdense | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 16 |
| 10 | RandersRanders | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 16 |
| 11 | Vejle | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Hvidovre | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 31 | -22 | 7 |
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