MX23RW : Wednesday, May 31 00:47:25
SM
Europa League final: 18 hrs 12 mins
W
Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
 
WB
Wolfsburg
2 - 2
Werder Bremen
Nmecha (11'), Guilavogui (84')
van de Ven (52'), Nmecha (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Fullkrug (21'), Bittencourt (23')
Weiser (56'), Pieper (58')

We said: Wolfsburg 1-1 Werder Bremen

We do not expect to see a classic between these sides on Saturday, with Wolfsburg settling into life under a new manager and Werder re-establishing themselves at this level. As such, a share of the spoils feels likely, with both managers potentially content to stay unbeaten ahead of a long campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.44%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawWerder Bremen
33.44% (-0.359 -0.36) 23.68% (0.059999999999999 0.06) 42.88% (0.294 0.29)
Both teams to score 61.9% (-0.349 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.01% (-0.403 -0.4)39.99% (0.398 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.65% (-0.418 -0.42)62.35% (0.413 0.41)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.4% (-0.39200000000001 -0.39)23.6% (0.387 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.32% (-0.566 -0.57)57.67% (0.56 0.56)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.02% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)18.97% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.49% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)50.51% (0.061 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 33.44%
    Werder Bremen 42.88%
    Draw 23.67%
WolfsburgDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 7.76% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.47% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.73% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3%
Total : 33.44%
1-1 @ 10.74% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.45% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.48% (0.083 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.67%
1-2 @ 8.93% (0.042 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.44% (0.128 0.13)
0-2 @ 6.19% (0.098999999999999 0.1)
1-3 @ 4.95% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.57% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.43% (0.051 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.49% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.42% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 42.88%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Carl Zeiss 0-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, July 30 at 5.01pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Wolfsburg 4-0 Brentford
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 0-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, May 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, April 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 5-0 Mainz 05
Friday, April 22 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Energie Cottbus 1-2 Werder Bremen
Monday, August 1 at 5.01pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Besiktas 2-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-0 Jahn
Sunday, May 15 at 2.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Erzgebirge Aue 0-3 Werder Bremen
Sunday, May 8 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-3 Holstein Kiel
Friday, April 29 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Schalke 1-4 Werder Bremen
Saturday, April 23 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34218592385471
2Borussia DortmundDortmund34225783443971
3RB Leipzig34206864412366
4Union BerlinUnion Berlin34188851381362
5Freiburg3417895144759
6Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34148125749850
7Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt341311105852650
8Wolfsburg341310115748949
9Mainz 05Mainz341210125455-146
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach341110135255-343
11FC Koln341012124954-542
12Hoffenheim34106184857-936
13Werder Bremen34106185164-1336
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum34105194072-3235
15Augsburg3497184263-2134
16Stuttgart34712154557-1233
RSchalke 04Schalke34710173571-3631
RHertha Berlin3478194269-2729
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