Erzgebirge Aue
0 - 3
Werder Bremen
Carlson (15'), Jonjic (48')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Erzgebirge Aue and Werder Bremen.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dynamo Dresden 0-1 Erzgebirge Aue
Sunday, May 15 at 2.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Sunday, May 15 at 2.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Next Game: Erzgebirge Aue vs. Mainz 05
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Dynamo Dresden | 34 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Erzgebirge Aue | 34 | -40 | 26 |
| 18 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 34 | -35 | 21 |
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-0 Jahn
Sunday, May 15 at 2.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Sunday, May 15 at 2.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Next Game: Energie Cottbus vs. Werder Bremen
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Schalke 04 | 34 | 28 | 65 |
| 2 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 22 | 63 |
| 3 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 32 | 60 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 64.26%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 16.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.13%) and 0-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Erzgebirge Aue win it was 2-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Erzgebirge Aue | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 16.67% | 19.07% | 64.26% |
| Both teams to score 58.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
