Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.4%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
