Form, Standings, Stats
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We said: Energie Cottbus 0-2 Werder Bremen
We expect a fairly low-tempo affair with this cup tie representing both sides' first competitive matches of the season.
Ultimately, both sides may be content enough with a narrow victory for the visitors, who will be desperate to avoid any upset ahead of their return to the Bundesliga next weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 78.05%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Energie Cottbus had a probability of 8.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.05%) and 1-2 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.83%), while for a Energie Cottbus win it was 2-1 (2.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
| Result |
| Energie Cottbus | Draw | Werder Bremen |
8.74% ( 0.02) | 13.2% ( 0.12) | 78.05% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 56.26% ( -0.52) |
| 73.21% ( -0.63) | 26.78% ( 0.62) |
| 52.78% ( -0.8) | 47.21% ( 0.79) |
| 59.53% ( -0.45) | 40.46% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.92% ( -0.41) | 77.07% ( 0.4) |
| 94.5% ( -0.16) | 5.49% ( 0.15) |
