SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Mainz 05 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Erzgebirge Aue win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Erzgebirge Aue win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Erzgebirge Aue | Draw | Mainz 05 |
39.37% ( 0.03) | 24.16% ( -0) | 36.47% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 60.81% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.31% ( 0.01) | 41.69% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.91% ( 0.01) | 64.09% ( -0.01) |
| Erzgebirge Aue Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.71% ( 0.02) | 21.29% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.78% ( 0.03) | 54.22% ( -0.03) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.26% ( -0) | 22.74% ( 0.01) |
