Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
