MX23RW : Wednesday, November 9 19:34:47
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Jul 20, 2022 at 1.30am UK at Castelao
Ceara
1 - 0
Avai
Vinicius (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ventura (45'), Vitinho (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ceara 3-1 Corinthians
Sunday, July 17 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Avai 1-0 Santos
Saturday, July 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro

We said: Ceara 2-1 Avai

Ceara at home are usually a good bet to come away with something, and when you add to that how poor Avai have been this season along the backline, we expect Vozao to triumph, especially given their consistency at Castelao. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 68.57%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Avai had a probability of 11.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.61%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for an Avai win it was 0-1 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.

Result
CearaDrawAvai
68.57% (-0.080000000000013 -0.08) 19.79% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07) 11.64% (0.148 0.15)
Both teams to score 42.83% (0.639 0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.43% (0.611 0.61)49.57% (-0.612 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.4% (0.546 0.55)71.6% (-0.547 -0.55)
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.59% (0.16499999999999 0.16)13.41% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.64% (0.33 0.33)40.36% (-0.331 -0.33)
Avai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.46% (0.646 0.65)50.54% (-0.645 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.97% (0.436 0.44)85.03% (-0.43599999999999 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Ceara 68.56%
    Avai 11.64%
    Draw 19.79%
CearaDrawAvai
2-0 @ 13.67% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-0 @ 13.61% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
3-0 @ 9.16% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.25% (0.076 0.08)
4-0 @ 4.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 3.14% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.065 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.85% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.26% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 68.56%
1-1 @ 9.29% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-0 @ 6.78% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 3.19% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 19.79%
0-1 @ 4.63% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 3.17% (0.059 0.06)
0-2 @ 1.58% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 11.64%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ceara 3-1 Corinthians
Sunday, July 17 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Ceara 1-0 Fortaleza
Thursday, July 14 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Ceara
Saturday, July 9 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Ceara 3-0 The Strongest
Wednesday, July 6 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Ceara 1-1 Internacional
Saturday, July 2 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: The Strongest 1-2 Ceara
Wednesday, June 29 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Avai 1-0 Santos
Saturday, July 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 4-0 Avai
Saturday, July 9 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Avai 1-2 Cuiaba
Sunday, July 3 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Avai 2-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, June 26 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 2-0 Avai
Sunday, June 19 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Avai 3-2 Fortaleza
Thursday, June 16 at 11pm in Brasileiro
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1PalmeirasPalmeiras362212264234178
2InternacionalInternacional371913555312470
3Fluminense361971059411864
4Corinthians36181084233964
5FlamengoFlamengo361871157352261
6Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR36159124447-354
7America MineiroAmerica Mineiro36157143837152
8Atletico Mineiro361313104137452
9Sao Paulo371215105142951
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13GoiasGoias361113124046-646
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15Coritiba36125193656-2041
16Cuiaba36911162938-938
17Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO36810183755-1834
18CearaCeara36616143038-834
19Avai3678213059-2929
20JuventudeJuventude36312212663-3721
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