SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 65.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 14.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Barracas Central |
65.43% ( -0.32) | 20.49% ( 0.1) | 14.08% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 47.54% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.96% ( 0.03) | 47.04% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.72% ( 0.03) | 69.28% ( -0.03) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.43% ( -0.08) | 13.57% ( 0.08) |
