SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 47.74%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.12%) and 1-2 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 1-0 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barracas Central | Draw | Independiente |
23.6% ( 0.01) | 28.66% ( 0) | 47.74% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 40.72% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.56% ( -0.01) | 64.44% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.5% ( -0) | 83.49% ( 0) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56% ( 0.01) | 43.99% ( -0.01) |
