SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 58.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 16.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.56%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Barracas Central |
58.97% ( 0.77) | 24.51% ( -0.36) | 16.52% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 41.59% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.91% ( 0.66) | 58.09% ( -0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.24% ( 0.51) | 78.76% ( -0.51) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.39% ( 0.56) | 19.61% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.44% ( 0.9) | 51.56% ( -0.89) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.73% ( -0.14) | 48.27% ( 0.15) |
