Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Instituto and Newell's Old Boys.
Form, Standings, Stats
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 36.63%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.26%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (12.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Instituto would win this match.
| Result |
| Instituto | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
36.63% ( -0.2) | 30.04% ( -0.04) | 33.33% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 41.95% ( 0.13) |
| 34.72% ( 0.14) | 65.29% ( -0.14) |
| 15.91% ( 0.09) | 84.09% ( -0.1) |
| 65.91% ( -0.06) | 34.09% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.22% ( -0.06) | 70.78% ( 0.06) |
| 63.65% ( 0.25) | 36.35% ( -0.25) |
