SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.87%) and 2-1 (7.49%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (12.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Platense | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
39.16% ( 0.05) | 30.12% ( -0.02) | 30.73% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 41.24% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.11% ( 0.05) | 65.89% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.49% ( 0.04) | 84.51% ( -0.03) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.2% ( 0.06) | 32.8% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.63% ( 0.07) | 69.37% ( -0.07) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.37% ( 0) | 38.63% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.63% ( 0) | 75.37% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Platense | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
| 1-0 @ 14.12% 2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 39.16% | 1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 12.67% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.56% ( 0)Other @ 0.45% Total : 30.11% | 0-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 1.58% Total : 30.72% |
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