SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 56.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 17.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.39%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Banfield |
56.13% ( 0.04) | 26.29% ( 0) | 17.58% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 39.09% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.52% ( -0.04) | 62.48% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.91% ( -0.03) | 82.09% ( 0.03) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.46% ( -0) | 22.54% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.87% ( -0) | 56.13% ( 0.01) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.46% ( -0.07) | 49.53% ( 0.08) |
