SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 39%. A win for Banfield had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.88%) and 1-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Banfield win was 1-0 (12.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Banfield | Draw | Boca Juniors |
30.6% ( -0.23) | 30.4% ( 0.1) | 39% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 40.5% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.24% ( -0.32) | 66.76% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.9% ( -0.22) | 85.1% ( 0.22) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.77% ( -0.36) | 39.22% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.06% ( -0.34) | 75.93% ( 0.34) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.63% ( -0.09) | 33.37% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.01% ( -0.1) | 69.99% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banfield | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.5% Total : 30.59% | 1-1 @ 13.44% 0-0 @ 13.08% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.42% Total : 30.39% | 0-1 @ 14.36% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 7.88% ( 0.05)1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.53% Total : 38.99% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | River PlateRiver Plate | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 5 | 17 | 30 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 27 |
| 3 | BelgranoBelgrano | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 24 |
| 4 | LanusLanus | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 22 |
| 5 | Rosario CentralRosario | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 22 |
| 6 | TalleresTalleres | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 21 |
| 7 | Defensa y JusticiaDefensa | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 21 |
| 8 | Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 18 |
| 10 | Racing ClubRacing | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
| 11 | EstudiantesEstudiantes | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 18 |
| 12 | Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Platense | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | TigreTigre | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 | Instituto | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 16 |
| 16 | Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 15 |
| 17 | Sarmiento | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 15 |
| 18 | Central CordobaC. Cordoba | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 15 |
| 19 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 14 |
| 20 | ColonColon | 13 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 14 |
| 21 | HuracanHuracan | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 13 |
| 22 | Barracas Central | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 13 |
| 23 | BanfieldBanfield | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 13 |
| 24 | Arsenal SarandiArsenal | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
| 25 | GimnasiaGimnasia | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 11 |
| 26 | IndependienteIndependiente | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 |
| 27 | Atletico TucumanTucuman | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 10 |
| 28 | UnionUnion | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 8 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
