SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.66%) and 1-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Talleres win was 1-0 (12.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Talleres | Draw | Boca Juniors |
31.37% ( -0.32) | 30.51% ( 0.28) | 38.12% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 40.44% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.08% ( -0.88) | 66.92% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.79% ( -0.6) | 85.21% ( 0.6) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.28% ( -0.74) | 38.71% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.55% ( -0.71) | 75.45% ( 0.7) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.99% ( -0.45) | 34.01% ( 0.45) |
