SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 58.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 17.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
58.38% ( 0.98) | 24.19% ( -0.28) | 17.42% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 43.98% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.21% ( 0.08) | 55.79% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.08% ( 0.07) | 76.91% ( -0.07) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.04% ( 0.41) | 18.95% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.52% ( 0.67) | 50.48% ( -0.67) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.27% ( -0.82) | 45.73% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.49% ( -0.64) | 81.51% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 14.41% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.26)2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.88% Total : 58.37% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.58% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.47% Total : 17.42% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | River PlateRiver Plate | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 5 | 16 | 27 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Defensa y JusticiaDefensa | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Rosario CentralRosario | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
| 5 | TalleresTalleres | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| 6 | LanusLanus | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 18 |
| 7 | BelgranoBelgrano | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
| 8 | Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
| 9 | Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 17 |
| 10 | Racing ClubRacing | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 17 |
| 11 | Platense | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 16 |
| 12 | Instituto | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 16 |
| 13 | Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
| 14 | EstudiantesEstudiantes | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
| 15 | TigreTigre | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 16 | Central CordobaC. Cordoba | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 17 | Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 14 |
| 18 | Boca Juniors | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
| 19 | Sarmiento | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
| 20 | HuracanHuracan | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
| 21 | Barracas Central | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 12 |
| 22 | GimnasiaGimnasia | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 11 |
| 23 | ColonColon | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 10 |
| 24 | BanfieldBanfield | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 10 |
| 25 | IndependienteIndependiente | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 9 |
| 26 | Atletico TucumanTucuman | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 9 |
| 27 | Arsenal SarandiArsenal | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
| 28 | UnionUnion | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
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