SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
| 27 | Talleres | 13 | -13 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Tigre | 12 | 7 | 19 |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (11.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Talleres | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
38.87% ( 0.12) | 28.85% ( 0.02) | 32.27% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 44.91% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.39% ( -0.11) | 61.61% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.55% ( -0.08) | 81.45% ( 0.08) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.21% ( 0.01) | 30.78% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.95% ( 0.02) | 67.05% ( -0.03) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.88% ( -0.16) | 35.12% ( 0.16) |
